Experimentation Mode

You are working in "experimentation mode", where mass flows and costs can be changed freely. To ensure that the plastic system pathways are consistent between interventions, we recommend to design a comprehensive pathway with separate tools such as PPS or NAM. These can then be imported into PlastInvest.

Intervention Parameters

kt/year

kt/year

Cost Assumptions for Experimentation Mode

Formal sorting

  • Finance Demand

    $ 75.5 million

    Period: 2026-2045

  • CAPEX

    $ 19.0 million

    Period: 2026-2045

  • OPEX

    $ 56.6 million

    Period: 2026-2045

  • Mass Flow

    23.00 kt

    83 %

    42.00 kt

  • GHG

    1.11 kt

    83 %

    2.03 kt

  • Jobs

    39.10 

    83 %

    71.40 

Finance demand

Knowledge Base Content for Sortation

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General Information

The sortation sector plays a crucial role in the waste management and recycling industry, focusing on the segregation of waste materials for recycling and disposal. This sector is vital for efficient resource management, aiding in the recovery of valuable materials, reducing landfill waste, and supporting environmental sustainability. Sortation facilities, commonly known as Material Recovery Facilities (MRF) can be classified in terms of input, and nature of processing. Clean MRFs receive clean, or source separated waste and are usually established in communities where a high degree of segregation at source is implemented. Dirty MRFs receive non-source separated waste and are more common worldwide. MRFs can be fully manual, semi-automated, or fully automated. Advanced sortation technologies, including automated sorting lines, optical sorters, and AI-driven systems, are adopted in high-income countries to improve the efficacy and accuracy of waste sorting and are increasing considered in low-middle income countries where robust waste collection infrastructure already exists.

In low-middle income countries, particularly in areas proximate to established recycling centres and where waste collection services are in place, there is potential for the emergence of specialized low technology waste sortation enterprises. These businesses, often operating as intermediaries, bridge the gap between informal waste collectors and formal recycling facilities. The process typically involves multiple stages of intermediation, where each level contributes to the bulking, sorting, and cleaning of materials, gradually preparing them for recycling. Despite their crucial role in integrating the informal sector into the recycling chain, these aggregators often face constraints in terms of scalability and operational efficiency, particularly when considering the scale of municipal-level waste management requirements. In addition since municipalities in low-middle income countries tend not to engage in recycling, these intermediaries are often not integrated within solid waste planning.

Costs and revenue model

Main costs centres in the sortation sector include the acquisition and maintenance of sorting technology, labour costs, facility operation, and logistics. Investment in sorting machinery can represent a significant portion of the capital expenditure particularly in high income countries where automation is prevalent due to high labour costs. In semi-automated systems, sorting machinery includes conveyor belts and industrial balers. Advanced sorting machinery in fully automated systems include optical sorters, infrared scanners, and robotics. Most long-term financial analyses conducted in high income countries show that predominantly mechanised sortation is more cost-effective than manual sorting at large scales of operations because of high labour cost. Investment decision in this sector should carefully consider local labour costs and the quantity and quality of the incoming waste stream.

Recent and ongoing developments in AI, while promising, have not yet achieved widespread scalability. Labour intensive semi-automated systems, prevalent in low-middle income countries often achieve higher output quality then in fully automated MRFs. Lower labor costs in these regions make human-operated sortation systems not only financially feasible but also operationally advantageous.

The primary revenue stream comes from the sale of sorted recyclables to processors and manufacturers. Additional revenue may be generated from service fees charged to municipalities or private companies for waste processing. Some advanced sortation facilities in high income countries also provide waste data analytics and consulting services, offering municipalities and private sector insights into waste composition and recycling efficiencies.

Market development

The sortation sector in high income countries has witnessed a shift towards automation and digitalization. Technologies such as AI, machine learning, and robotic sorting are more prevalent, increasing the efficiency and accuracy of sorting while reducing labour costs. Examples of companies making considerable advancements in this area include: Grey Parrot (UK-based AI computer vision systems for sorting facilities providing waste analytics to increase recycling rates and introduce accountability in the waste value chain); AMP Robotics (US-based company whore robotics system automates the identification and sorting of recyclables from mixed material streams); Zen Robotics (Finnish supplier of intelligent sorting robots for the waste industry).

The increasing focus on sustainability and circular economy principles is driving the demand for more effective and advanced sortation solutions, creating opportunities for innovation and market growth.

Recent trends indicate adoption of automated sortation technologies in low and high middle income countries including in Latin America. For example TOMRA, a Norwegian collection and sortation equipment manufacturer, has partnered with Ecoparque Pernambuco, a sortation plant in Recife, Brazil, to supply advanced sortation equipment.

Investment Readiness Assessment

The investment readiness assessment uses a scoring system across three key parameters to provide a comprehensive view of the investment viability of the finance demand opportunities. Scores vary from 1 to 5. Investors and stakeholders can use this scoring system to make informed decisions and prioritize investment options based on their specific objectives and risk tolerance. Show more

  • Investment Scale

    2

    The sortation sector requires moderate to high capital investment, especially for technologically advanced systems. The scale of investment largely depends on the capacity and sophistication of the sorting facilities.

    Large and stable supply of high quality feedstock is instrumental for large scale operations.

  • Return Potential

    2

    If supported by policies, investment in sortation systems can generate return in line with market expectations, driven by the growing demand for recycled materials and the increasing value of recoverable waste products.

    Efficient sortation systems can significantly reduce operational costs and increase revenue from recyclable materials. Close collaboration with collection and recycling operations can further improve the economics (and therefore return) of sortation systems.

  • Perceived Risk

    2

    In their current form, sortation systems in low-middle income countries face risks, including technological obsolescence, limited technical capacity required to operate and maintain sortation equipment, fluctuating commodity prices for recyclables, poor feedstock quality , and regulatory changes amongst others. In addition, widespread municipal type sortation plants are not common. Instead, the sector is usually dominated by waste aggregators that clean up and sort materials collected by the informal sector. Due to the prevalence of a robust informal sector, large scale sortation plants may risk displacing the existing informal sector, leading to significant disruptions and becoming at odds with the concept of a 'just transition'. These factors add layers of complexity to the perceived risk in this sector.

    Evidence in high income countries suggests that if supported by an established waste management infrastructure and progressive policies, sortation systems can be attractive investment opportunities.

De-risking instruments

In emerging markets collection and sortation systems could receive some support in the form of philanthropic or government grants, ODA. Technical assistance is often used to provide technical expertise to the local stakeholders to increase recycling, build economically sustainable programs, creating new jobs and reducing the harmful impact of mismanaged waste on public health.

Under specific enabling conditions, development finance (DFI / MDB) can also play a role in the financing of waste sortation systems. Development finance institutions often provide favourable payment terms, which can help mitigate issues related to low expected return on investments and long payback periods.

Enabling System Conditions

Financing challenges

  • Market Volatility: The value of recyclables is subject to market fluctuations, posing a risk to the fiscal predictability of sortation operations.

  • Collection Infrastructure Dependency: Large-scale, bankable sortation infrastructure is contingent on comprehensive and mature collection operations, often a limiting factor.

  • Investment Viability: The interdependence on upstream collection systems makes standalone sortation investments challenging.

  • Automated System Economics: In low-to-middle-income countries, the cost-effectiveness of automated sortation systems is often undermined by lower labor costs, affecting their economic viability.